Distress Score

A 1-5 rating assigned to a property based on AI visual analysis and Census data, indicating the level of physical and economic distress.

Analysis

What is Distress Score?

A distress score is the numerical rating Ugly House Finder assigns to every property it analyzes, ranging from 1 (well-maintained) to 5 (severely distressed). This score is calculated by combining two independent assessments: a visual analysis score from AI examination of Google Street View imagery, and a context score derived from Census Bureau data at the tract level.

The visual analysis component evaluates observable indicators of property neglect including roof damage, peeling or missing paint, overgrown or dead vegetation, broken or boarded windows, structural sagging or leaning, debris accumulation, and general deterioration. The AI model has been trained to distinguish between cosmetic issues and structural concerns, producing both a numeric score and a written description of observed conditions.

The context score incorporates three weighted categories of Census data: economic stress factors (40% weight) including unemployment rate, vehicle access, and housing cost burden; housing condition factors (40% weight) including vacancy rate, plumbing and kitchen facility status, and housing age; and demographic vulnerability factors (20% weight) including renter occupancy rates and educational attainment. The final distress score averages the visual and context components.

Investors typically filter for properties with distress scores of 3 or higher, with scores of 4-5 representing the most severely distressed properties and potentially the strongest deal opportunities. However, lower-scored properties in high-context-score neighborhoods can also represent good investments, as the neighborhood conditions may indicate future distress trajectories.

Example

The AI assigned a distress score of 4.2 to the property at 1234 Oak Street, noting a damaged roof, overgrown yard, and peeling exterior paint in a neighborhood with a 22% vacancy rate.